Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 9.930438 11.622253 13.470062 15.632185 18.086495 20.779567 23.951725
2025-11-16 6.773937 8.984913 11.659343 15.103599 19.389608 24.513258 31.063716
2025-11-23 4.890974 7.195183 10.223705 14.431234 20.050689 27.214258 36.939714
2025-11-30 4.053028 6.491176 9.918259 14.973711 22.105444 31.651304 45.205182
2025-12-07 3.449352 5.958301 9.699235 15.510634 24.098180 36.070419 53.708902
2025-12-14 2.786700 5.188872 8.983952 15.180972 24.750754 38.610913 59.740722
2025-12-21 2.254152 4.513913 8.287357 14.745472 25.134680 40.716728 65.219069
2025-12-28 2.034000 4.327139 8.334915 15.460570 27.305228 45.568780 74.994638
2026-01-04 1.815057 4.097673 8.267777 15.958283 29.145368 50.014860 84.410758
2026-01-11 1.568815 3.766242 7.967065 16.006231 30.226481 53.319070 92.237911
2026-01-18 1.360014 3.468014 7.679512 16.030440 31.244714 56.558620 100.120091
2026-01-25 1.138362 3.095737 7.192543 15.622358 31.455116 58.460027 105.925728
2026-02-01 0.937555 2.740283 6.712903 15.224618 31.745887 60.684021 112.705195
2026-02-08 0.766511 2.416558 6.252187 14.817295 32.003970 62.918785 119.749230
2026-02-15 0.610296 2.086126 5.715337 14.175030 31.738945 64.197598 125.226049
2026-02-22 0.552654 2.007623 5.738301 14.712796 33.812476 69.802569 138.570357
2026-03-01 0.501338 1.933537 5.758289 15.242343 35.908896 75.576094 152.530479
2026-03-08 0.415982 1.729735 5.420015 14.917719 36.217207 78.019467 160.609017
2026-03-15 0.340791 1.532895 5.060273 14.488759 36.252816 79.925981 167.786994
2026-03-22 0.318326 1.511238 5.167848 15.193171 38.784145 86.823355 184.624568
2026-03-29 0.290521 1.461557 5.188417 15.683484 40.881630 92.983395 200.371275
2026-04-05 0.252715 1.360410 5.041783 15.730722 41.986441 97.217847 212.642383
2026-04-12 0.219467 1.265164 4.894201 15.754571 43.034599 101.391587 224.995557